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The Brazilian real weakened as much as about 2% against the dollar before recovering to a 0.8% loss in Asian trading after Lula's election win. The iShares MSCI Brazil ETF fell 2% in US premarket trading and Petrobras shares slumped 6%.
The market reaction to the election is mostly confined to currency and equity moves. The effect on agricultural commodity prices is minimal.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.