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China is facing a soybean meal shortage, shown by steep backwardation on the Dalian exchange where November futures sit about 800 yuan above January. Processors slowed foreign soybean buying over the summer when crush margins turned negative, and low Mississippi River water has limited US export prospects.
Tight Chinese soymeal supply supports prices for feed ingredients and keeps demand for US soybean exports firm, while river constraints add freight and availability risk.
caixinglobal.comOct 27, 2022After 167 past bullish logistics events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.9%), and -1.2% over 20.
After 206 past bullish logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.6%), and +1.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
