
US Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack said he is confident corn sales to Mexico will continue as planned, citing talks with Mexican Agriculture Secretary Victor Villalobos. He disputed the deputy minister's forecast that Mexico would halve US corn imports under the GMO ban set for January 2024.
The conflicting official signals leave uncertainty over the size of Mexico's US corn import loss, which keeps a risk premium on US corn export expectations.
After 480 past neutral trade events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.