AHDB notes Argentina exported 37.5Mt of maize in 2021/22 and expects a 50Mt crop with 41Mt exports in 2022/23. Planting is 17% complete as of October 19, down 9.3% year on year, and La Niña dryness is a risk to the crop.
Delayed Argentine planting and a possible La Niña drought would cut exportable maize supplies, supporting global corn prices and US and Brazilian corn demand for feed.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.