
Oil dropped about 2% on Friday, posting a second weekly decline, with Brent settling at $87.62 and WTI at $80.08. Concerns about weaker Chinese demand and further US interest rate increases weighed on prices, and a stronger dollar added pressure.
Softer crude and a firmer dollar lower energy and biofuel input costs, which can pressure vegetable oil prices. A stronger dollar also makes US commodities more expensive for importers, weighing on export demand.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.