
Ukraine harvested about 9.8 million tonnes of sunflower seed by week 46, covering 96% of a 4.5 million hectare oilseed area. Kyiv region finished harvesting all crops.
Sunflower seed exports are expected to fall from 2021/22 but remain well above pre-war averages, while exports of processed products have fallen sharply due to logistics problems.
Lower processed product exports from Ukraine reduce global sunflower meal and oil supply, supporting prices, though harvest progress is largely in line with expectations.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.