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A Holland & Knight alert says Mexico's 2020 decree banning genetically engineered corn is set to take full effect on January 31, 2024. Mexican imports of U.S. yellow corn could be cut in half, from about 17 million tons.
Non-GE supply contracts are unlikely to fully replace the lost volume, and Mexican importers may pay about 26% more for non-GE corn.
Halving Mexico's roughly 17 million tons of U.S. yellow corn imports would remove a major export outlet and raise feed costs for Mexican livestock. The limited non-GE substitute supply points to continued downside pressure on U.S. corn export demand.
hklaw.comPeter TaborNov 15, 2022After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
