
The Australian dollar climbed 1.5% on Wednesday after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled a slower pace of rate hikes at the December 14 meeting. Markets priced a 50-basis-point hike at about 80%, and the US dollar fell broadly, while the Australian dollar reached 10-week highs.
Expectations of a smaller Fed hike weaken the dollar and lift dollar-priced commodities and currencies such as the Australian dollar, which can support export prices for grains and meals.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.