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ING expects the USD/MXN pair to return to around 19.00 soon after recent peso underperformance. Banxico raised its policy rate by 50 basis points to 10.50% and signaled another 50 basis point hike in February.
A firmer peso lowers the local-currency cost of dollar-priced US feed grains and meal for Mexican buyers, while high Mexican rates support the currency and reduce the pressure on import costs.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.