
China's yuan hovered near a five-month high against the dollar, as investors awaited U.S. inflation data. Border reopening optimism and seasonal demand supported the currency.
Traders said the Fed's tightening path would be a key driver going forward.
A firmer yuan lowers the cost of dollar-priced imports for China, which can support Chinese demand for feed inputs such as soybeans and corn at the margin. The effect on grain prices is modest.
After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.