
ING expects the dollar to remain resilient into the Federal Reserve's policy meeting, arguing the Fed will push back against early-peak speculation and talk of 2023 rate cuts. The bank expects volatility to pick up during the week, with high-beta currencies likely to underperform in risk-off conditions.
A firmer dollar near term would pressure dollar-denominated commodity prices and raise import costs for currency-sensitive feed buyers.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.