
The Canadian dollar hit a one-week high on Friday after Canada added 150,000 jobs in January, far above expectations of 15,000, and oil prices rose. The loonie posted the biggest gain among G10 currencies, and money markets raised the odds of another Bank of Canada tightening to about 70%.
Stronger domestic rate expectations lift the loonie, which raises the cost of Canadian canola and other exports for U.S. and overseas buyers. Higher crude prices also feed through to transport and energy costs.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.