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Indian FX traders are betting on wider dollar/rupee forward premiums as US rates are expected to ease later this year. The USD/INR 1-year implied yield is forecast to rise toward 3% within fiscal 2024 from about 2.40%.
Widening rate differentials raise the cost of hedging rupee exposure, which matters for importers of feed inputs priced in dollars. The effect on grain and meal prices is indirect.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.