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The EU has bought 5.8 million tonnes of rapeseed through 37 weeks of the crop year, up 57% year on year, per Strategie Grains. Ukraine supplies half of EU imports and Australia holds 41% share, while Canadian canola is uncompetitive due to high domestic prices and strong crush margins.
Canadian canola remaining priced out of Europe limits export demand and keeps Canadian canola meal supply domestic, while Australian supply sets the marginal EU price.
producer.comSean PrattMar 23, 2023Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 81 past neutral trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
