
A Reuters poll of 24 FX strategists expects Colombia's peso to reach 4,800 per dollar by end-June, about 4.2% weaker than Monday's 4,600. The central bank raised its rate by 25 basis points to 13.0% and may be near the end of its hiking cycle, and the peso has decoupled from lower oil prices.
A weaker peso expected by strategists raises the local cost of dollar-priced feed imports into Colombia. The disconnect from oil prices suggests domestic policy risk, not commodity moves, is driving the currency.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.