
The South African rand weakened in early trade on Friday as money markets priced about an 86% chance of a 25 basis point Fed hike in May. The dollar firmed against a basket of currencies on those expectations.
Expectations of further US rate hikes strengthen the dollar and weigh on emerging-market currencies. A stronger dollar can soften demand for US commodity exports priced in dollars, which is mildly bearish for feed commodities.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.