
The Reserve Bank of Australia unexpectedly raised its cash rate 25 basis points to 3.85% on May 2, 2023, when markets had expected a pause. It warned that further tightening may be needed to bring inflation back to target.
The Australian dollar rose about 1.3% on the decision.
A hawkish surprise strengthens the Aussie and tightens financial conditions, which can pressure commodity prices and export-linked demand from Australia. For feed buyers the effect is indirect, mainly through currency moves affecting Australian grain and barley export competitiveness.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.