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The Canadian dollar strengthened against the U.S. dollar after first-quarter GDP grew 3.1% annualized, beating the 2.5% forecast. Money markets raised the odds of a Bank of Canada hike at its next meeting to about 40%.
U.S. crude settled nearly 2% lower at $68.09 a barrel.
Stronger Canadian growth and higher rate-hike odds support the loonie, while weaker oil on China demand worries pressures the commodity-linked currency. For feed buyers, the currency move affects Canadian grain and canola export competitiveness only marginally.
theglobeandmail.comFergal SmithMay 31, 2023Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
