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The dollar index held near a one-week high of 102.02 on May 12 after a slew of weak US data. Investors bet the Fed would pause its rate increases, with markets pricing a 98% chance of a hold at the June meeting.
A softer economic outlook and expectations of a Fed pause reduce dollar support, which can help dollar-denominated commodity prices. The effect on feed markets is modest.
After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.