
Flooding on the Upper Mississippi River has crested at St. Paul, Minnesota, but the river remains high and locks and dams from Hastings to Canton, Missouri are open and will only reopen once flood waters recede. DTN analysts say barge traffic will stay halted for at least a few more weeks.
Prolonged barge stoppages strand Midwest corn and soybean shipments, widening Gulf basis and raising barge freight costs while cash grain prices in the interior weaken.
After 359 past bearish logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 297 past bearish logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.8%), and +0.7% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.