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A Belarusian ambassador writes that Belarus is the world's second-largest potash producer and warns that disruption to its supply could threaten global food security. He cites WFP figures on people facing hunger and offers Belarusian territory as a transit route for Ukrainian grain.
Sanctions or transport limits on Belarusian potash would tighten global potash supply and raise fertilizer costs, though the piece is an opinion article without a new market action.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.