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Ukrainian analysts at the Pusk cooperative expect adverse southern weather to lower the barley harvest and reduce grain quality through low natural weight and lodging. They forecast Ukrainian barley prices may rise from $130 to $145 per tonne, with a possible July dip during harvest.
A smaller Black Sea barley crop and firm global prices would tighten export supply, supporting feed barley values, especially with China expected to be a major buyer.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.