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Saudi Arabia pledged on Sunday to cut oil output by 1 million bpd, or 10%, in July on top of existing OPEC+ cuts. With the Saudi reduction, the group will take about 4.6 million bpd off the market in July, equal to 4.6% of global demand.
OPEC+ also agreed to extend its 3.66 million bpd cuts into 2024.
Roughly 4.6 million bpd removed from supply is a large tightening that supports crude prices. US shale producers may respond with more output, which could cap the rally over time.
reuters.comDmitry ZhdannikovJun 5, 2023After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
