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Brownfield reports that the Congressional Budget Office estimates the 2023 farm bill at $1.5 trillion over ten years. An industry lobbyist says Congress will struggle to find extra funding and is working on a zero-baseline bill.
Committee drafts are expected around Labor Day, and about $20 billion in Inflation Reduction Act conservation money may be used.
Funding constraints may limit changes to commodity support and trade programs, leaving feed market fundamentals mostly unaffected. Reallocation of conservation money is a possible but minor factor for markets.
brownfieldagnews.comCarah HartJul 5, 2023After 1,623 past policy events, CORN moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 1,905 past policy events, SOY moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.8%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 1,019 past policy events, WHEAT moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.5%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
