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Oil prices have not risen as much as expected despite OPEC+ supply cuts. Analysts point to weak Chinese demand after the COVID reopening and the threat of further interest rate hikes by central banks.
Weak demand expectations cap crude prices even when producers cut output, which keeps energy and fuel input costs contained for feed buyers.
reuters.comJul 4, 2023After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
