Dollar set for fifth straight week of gains as China stays top of mind

After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.

• Sep 27, 2025Dollar set for second straight week of gains - Business & Finance - Business Recorder-0.3%
• Aug 28, 2026Dollar jumps after Warsh comments, set for weekly gain | Reuters-0.2%
• Oct 6, 2017Dollar set for 4th week of gains as markets scent higher rates | Gold Eagle-0.3%
• Oct 2, 2017Asia FX falters as dollar gains offset upbeat China news+0.6%
• Oct 2, 2026Dollar heads for fourth straight weekly gain versus euro-0.3%

After 169 past neutral macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.2%), and -0.0% over 20.

• Dec 31, 2019China adjusts CFETS index basket, cutting dollar weighting | Reuters-0.6%
• May 22, 2023Dollar gains against yen as Fed policy and debt ceiling in focus - Reuters+0.8%
• Oct 30, 2018Major Chinese banks seen swapping yuan for dollars in forwards: traders | Reuters-0.5%
• Apr 29, 2025China ramps up global yuan push, seizing on retreating dollar | Reuters-0.3%
• Jul 28, 2021Havens favoured as China jitters persist; dollar waits for Fed - Markets - Business Recorder-0.6%