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The dollar dropped after U.S. jobs data, and the yen rose from a 10-month low. Investors are watching for lagging effects of monetary tightening even as U.S. economic data has shown resilience.
Markets priced an 87% chance of the Fed holding rates next month, with odds of a November hike rising.
Shifts in Fed rate expectations move the dollar, which in turn affects the dollar cost of traded feed ingredients. A softer dollar tends to support commodity prices, while renewed hike bets would strengthen it.
reuters.comKaren BrettellAug 29, 2023After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
