
Crude oil rose on a Bloomberg report that Russia will agree with OPEC+ on further oil export cuts into October. Russia had already announced a 300,000 bpd output cut for September.
Offsetting factors included a rise in Iranian exports to a 5-year high and progress in Iran-U.S. relations.
Extended Russian export cuts remove barrels from the market and support crude prices, though rising Iranian supply limits the upside.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.