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The August Ag Economists' Monthly Monitor from the University of Missouri and Farm Journal found most surveyed economists expect US cattle herd rebuilding not to start until Q2 2024 or later. The US beef cow herd is at its lowest since 1962.
Economists also flagged likely consolidation among cattle producers and meat processors.
A prolonged herd contraction keeps cattle supplies tight and supports higher cattle prices into 2024, which in turn affects cattle feeding economics and demand for feed.
drovers.comTyne MorganAug 31, 2023After 268 past bullish report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
After 227 past bullish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.5%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
