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Cottonseed prices are approaching levels seen in the 2019 drought as dry weather sets in and exports rise. Some producers are paying more than A$600/t and struggling to source supply.
Forecasts of a hot, dry summer and a possible El Niño are driving hedging purchases.
Drought-driven hedging and tight supply point to higher cottonseed feed costs for Australian buyers. Prices could fall quickly if rain improves conditions.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.