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Rabobank analysis says the EUDR, adopted by the European Council in May 2023, will require investment across the palm oil supply chain. It notes that RSPO identity-preserved and segregated models can serve as a short-term compliance route within the 18-month grace period.
Smallholder involvement is identified as key to avoiding their exclusion from EU markets.
Compliance costs and segregated supply chains could tighten available EU-eligible palm oil and raise premiums for certified volumes. The longer-term effect is an incentive to expand traceable production rather than an immediate supply shock.
rabobank.comOscar Tjakra Senior AnalystAug 24, 2023After 513 past neutral policy events, PALMOIL moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
