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The EIA reported the national average diesel price fell 4.7 cents to $4.586 a gallon for the week of September 25, ending nine straight weeks of increases. The average remains 30.3 cents below a year earlier.
The first weekly retail decline signals some easing in fuel surcharges, though prices remain elevated relative to the year-ago level.
After 86 past bearish report events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.3% to +0.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.