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The spread between the front two Brent contracts widened to $2.45 a barrel, the highest since October 2022, signaling prompt physical tightness. Analysts attribute the backwardation to voluntary output cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia under OPEC+.
A steep backwardation signals tight prompt supply, which tends to lift near-term energy costs and support commodity prices linked to crude. Feed buyers face higher energy and freight expenses while the structure persists.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.