
Bank Indonesia unexpectedly raised its benchmark 7-day reverse repo rate on October 19 to arrest the rupiah's decline. The central bank cited U.S. monetary tightening and rising geopolitical risks, and the rupiah had hit its lowest level since 2020.
Economists saw further hikes possible if currency weakness persists.
Rupiah weakness raises the cost of imported feed inputs for Indonesia and tightens financing conditions for its livestock and poultry sectors, which can reduce feed demand. Currency pressure on a major importer of soybean meal and corn is mildly bearish for those commodities in dollar terms.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 73 past neutral macro events, SBM moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.1%), and -1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.