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Capital outflows from China reached $75 billion in September, the largest monthly figure since 2016, according to Goldman Sachs' preferred gauge of FX flows. The yuan has fallen more than 5.5% against the dollar this year amid a weak economy and a widening yield gap with the US.
Heavy capital outflows add depreciation pressure on the yuan, which makes dollar-priced Chinese imports of feed ingredients more expensive. Persistent weakness could also dampen Chinese demand for imported commodities.
reuters.comOct 23, 2023After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
