
Russia's Rostov region reported a record grain harvest above 15 million tonnes, and Altai oat harvesting continued with 235,000 tonnes collected. Belarus extended a six-month ban on exporting grain, including oats, barley, wheat and corn, requiring one-time licences.
Belarus's export ban keeps some Eastern European feed grain off world markets, which modestly supports prices for feed buyers. Strong Russian harvest volumes offset this by adding supply to the Black Sea market.
After 16 past neutral policy events, Oats moved a median -1.1% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -3.1% to +4.3%), and -5.7% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.