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USDA Crop Progress data for the week ending October 8 show Texas sorghum harvest at 88%, close to complete. The other five sorghum states each had under 40% harvested, and Texas sorghum condition was 45% good to excellent.
Routine harvest progress with poor Texas crop conditions has little independent effect on sorghum prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.