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FCC's third and final 2023 quarterly outlook says Canadian crop margins will tighten in 2023-24 as commodity prices fall, drought cuts yields and input costs rise. New-crop prices remain above five-year averages but most are expected to fall year over year.
Only feed barley, durum and spring wheat are expected to improve.
Drought-reduced Canadian output supports prices, while lower commodity prices and higher costs weigh on producer margins. The net effect is mixed for feed grain buyers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.