
Senate Agriculture Chair Debbie Stabenow said she expects $4 to $5 billion in new funding for the next farm bill, mainly for commodity and crop insurance programs. She also said Congress will need a one-year extension of the 2018 farm bill by year-end.
The White House requested $56 billion in supplemental spending, including $2.8 billion for agricultural disaster aid and $1 billion for Food for Peace.
Additional farm bill funding and disaster aid could support producer incomes and planting decisions. Food aid purchases could add modest export demand for U.S. commodities.
After 1,623 past policy events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 1,905 past policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.8%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 1,019 past policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.5%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.