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The rupee was expected to open little changed on November 30 as persistent dollar demand from importers offset expectations of Fed rate cuts. The dollar index fell about 3.6% in November while USD/INR edged higher.
Markets fully priced a 25 basis point cut by May 2024 after dovish Fed comments.
The rupee's failure to follow the dollar's decline keeps Indian import costs for feed ingredients high. The currency's lag against the broader dollar trend is a cost factor for buyers.
brecorder.comReutersNov 30, 2023Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
