Lagarde said at the January press conference that the economy likely stagnated in Q4 and that inflation is expected to ease further over 2024. She said it was premature to discuss rate cuts and that the ECB needed more progress on disinflation.
The ECB kept its key rates at 4.50%, 4.75% and 4.00%.
Guidance that cuts remain distant supports the euro and keeps European borrowing costs high, which affects currency conversion for feed importers. The comments confirm existing expectations rather than shifting them.
After 129 past neutral macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -0.5% to +0.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.