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Dairy economists expect Class IV milk prices to remain above Class III through 2024, as butterfat now drives most milk check value. The December Class III price was $16.04 per cwt and Class IV was $19.23, and cheese prices are expected to recover in the second half of 2024 as new US plants come online.
Stronger butter and full-fat demand supports Class IV prices, while weak cheese prices weigh on Class III milk and Midwest dairy demand for feed.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.