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The US is set to reinstate potash trade with Belarus after lifting sanctions on Belarusian potash, which had been in place since 2021. The move caught the market by surprise and follows a limited easing in relations tied to prisoner releases.
Restored US access gives Belarusian potash more buyers and supply options, which could soften global MOP prices. Buyers who had avoided Belarusian product now have more sourcing choices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.