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A Nebraska Farmer feature describes how some US growers are profitably producing oats by using longer rotations and suitable varieties. It notes that US oat harvested area fell to 831,000 acres in 2022 and that the country is a net oat importer, mainly from Canada.
Limited US oat acreage keeps the country reliant on Canadian imports, so agronomic changes have little near-term effect on oat prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.