The EU is preparing a 14th sanctions package against Russia and Belarus that targets sanctions circumvention. The bloc is again debating an exemption for Belarusian potash fertilizer on food-security grounds, with Brazil lobbying for relief.
Analysts consider the exemption unlikely to pass because US and EU sanction regimes are closely aligned.
Continued restriction on Belarusian potash keeps a major supplier off the market, supporting global potash prices. Any relaxation for Brazil or South America would add supply and pressure prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.