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Capital Economics says sterling is vulnerable because markets are pricing a Bank of England rate path that is too hawkish. The commentary was published on April 30, 2024, and the page header also shows a live quote.
If markets reprice toward earlier BoE cuts, sterling would weaken against the dollar, with only indirect effects on feed commodity costs.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.