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Chinese businesses are hoarding dollars because they expect the yuan to weaken, and this is amplifying a slide driven by volatile stock markets and weak growth. The yuan has hit five-month lows, down 1.9% against the dollar this year and about 5% since the start of 2023.
A weaker yuan makes Chinese buyers' dollar-priced imports such as soymeal and corn costlier and can slow Chinese feed demand, while a weaker yuan also makes Chinese exports cheaper, a mixed signal for feed-ingredient prices.
reuters.comApr 16, 2024After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
