
A USDA update projects global palm oil output in 2023/24 at a record 79.5 million tonnes, up nearly 2%, with Malaysia's output seen at 19 million tonnes, up 613,000 tonnes. The article notes that new plantings take 3-4 years to yield and that RED II limits on palm-based biofuels will constrain expansion.
A record global output forecast adds supply that caps palm price gains, though slow plantation growth limits how much the surplus can expand.
After 96 past bearish report events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.6%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.