
Rabobank analysis says the EU Deforestation Regulation entered into force in June 2023 with a transition period to January 2025. Implementation will be complex and costly, with liability potentially extending to retail.
Higher traceability costs for EU-bound soy, palm and cattle products could shift trade flows and modestly reduce demand for affected feed inputs.
After 369 past bearish policy events, SOY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 400 past bearish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.