A World Ports Organization column summarizes research showing Red Sea attacks have forced ships to reroute around the Cape of Good Hope, adding about 3,500 nautical miles and at least 14 days. The authors model reduced effective global shipping capacity, higher freight costs and lower trade volumes.
Lost effective shipping capacity lifts ocean freight costs for grains and oilseeds, raising landed prices for importers in Asia and Europe. The effect is a sustained freight premium rather than a one-off shock.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.